Posts

Showing posts from June, 2015

A hard time for Keynesians?

Image
I haven't made any comments on the results of the 2015 UK elections (and by now it's a bit late), even though I'm pleased to say I was correct in predicting its final outcome back in January. I say this with particular pride since none of pollsters got it right. Some 'pundits' even said there was going to be a grand coalition between Conservatives and Labour (see their texts published in the Guardian, Sky, BBC, HuffPost). What a bunch of baloney. 

Anyway, what caught my attention in the economic debates regarding the electoral results was this FT column by economic historian and Harvard professor Niall Ferguson. He makes a compelling case that the main reason why the Conservatives won a landslide election, amid the polls saying it was going to be the closest election in decades, was the economy.
Economic voting
From an economic voting perspective it makes sense. There's a huge literature out there linking electoral results to economic performance of incumbent g…